PDF(1431 KB)
Research on MCMC Parameter Estimation and Properties of High Order DINA Model
Journal of Psychological Science ›› 2011, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (6) : 1476-1481.
PDF(1431 KB)
PDF(1431 KB)
Research on MCMC Parameter Estimation and Properties of High Order DINA Model
Recently Cognitive Diagnosis(CD) was attached more and more importance internationally. But the realization of CD must utilize a special psychometrical model called Cognitive Diagnosis Model(CDM). This paper is focused on the HO-DINA model. With this model this paper investigated it’s parameter estimation and it’s properties that can be the inference of users. Research Method: To explore the feasibility of MCMC algorithm and the estimated precision, and to probe the properties of HO-DINA model, Monte Carlo method is used here. There are two experiments: Experiment 1: Fixed the number of cognitive attributes(5), of test items(60) and of examinees (1000). The target of this experiment is to explore the feasibility of MCMC algorithm and the estimated precision. Experiment 2: This experiment intent to study the properties of HO-DINA model, particularly the correctness rate of diagnosis. There are two factors was considered: the number of test items varied with possible values of 20, 40, 60, 80, 100, 120. And the number of cognitive attributes varied with possible values of 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. The number of examinees is fixed as 1000. Conclusions: (1) The estimation method of MCMC algorithm holds fairly robustness, and it’s precision of item and ability parameters are preferably great. Which indicates the MCMC algorithm method is feasible. (2) With the number of attribute fixed, the increasing of the number of text items can enhance the pattern correctness rate effectively. When the number of test items is varied from 20 to 40, the extent of increasing is the greatest. While the number is varied from 40 to 60, the degree of increasing is less. In real work, if we want to obtain a pattern correctness rate higher than 80%, then the number of test items needs to be 20 with the number of attribute is 4, 40 with the number of attributes is 5, 6, 7 possibly, 60 with the number of attribute is 8. (3) With the number of test items fixed, the increasing of the number of attribute will decrease the pattern correctness rate. The extent of decreasing is the greatness with the number of test items is 20, while the degree of decreasing is the least with the number of test items is 120. When the number of attribute is varied from 5 to 7, the degree of deceasing is less. Thus seven attributes is the turning point. So in real work, the number of attributes is suggested not greater than seven.
Cognitive Diagnosis / High Order DINA Model / MCMC Algorithm / Monte Carol Simulation
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